Match Info

Date: 17 July 2021, Saturday


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Mario Vilella Martinez

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.42
			Watch
	2.7	1.38
	2.97	1.43
	3.2	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.18)	1.42 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
33.6%

Mario Vilella Martinez
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's form might have worsened.

Mario Vilella Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mario Vilella Martinez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Vilella Martinez than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mario Vilella Martinez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	0%	77.3%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Mario Vilella Martinez Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Vilella Martinez will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vilella Martinez: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Vilella Martinez is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vilella Martinez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vilella Martinez will have a small advantage in this match.

Vilella Martinez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
16.07.21	Nicolas Jarry - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
14.07.21	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
13.07.21	Filippo Baldi - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
12.07.21	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Federico Zeballos	2:0 ✺
11.07.21	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Stephane Robert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW
- Mario Vilella Martinez
ATP Challenger
16.07.21	Giulio Zeppieri - Mario Vilella Martinez	0:2 ✺
15.07.21	Francesco Forti - Mario Vilella Martinez	0:2 ✺
13.07.21	Tristan Lamasine - Mario Vilella Martinez	0:2 ✺
07.07.21	Daniel Altmaier - Mario Vilella Martinez	2:0 ✺
05.07.21	Mario Vilella Martinez - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

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