Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRASILIA (BRAZIL), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 November 2023, Monday


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.6	1.45
	2.75	1.47
	2.75	1.47
	2.75	1.4
	3.08	1.34	Watch
	2.7	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.51)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
34%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreno De Alboran: 35.2% – 92%.

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Preview

Recent matches Pucinelli De Almeida is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moreno De Alboran is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pucinelli De Almeida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moreno De Alboran will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pucinelli De Almeida won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
12.11.23	Pedro Sakamoto - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
06.11.23	Renzo Olivo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Jorge Brian Panta - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
01.11.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Sofia
07.11.23	Jurij Rodionov - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
06.11.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Francesco Passaro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Maxime Janvier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.09.22	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2
ITF Tournaments
25.06.21	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Pucinelli de Almeida M. retired

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