Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 March 2024, Monday


	Mathias Bourgue		Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
			Watch
	1.74	2.13
	1.74	2.13
	1.62	2.2
	1.69	2.12	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.58)	2.15 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
56.3%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Mathias Bourgue - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Predictions

Users Predictions: Mathias Bourgue will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bourgue is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sanchez Izquierdo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bourgue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bourgue will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sanchez Izquierdo to win the game is with odds 2.21.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bourgue won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
11.03.24	Alessandro Giannessi - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Daniel Masur - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Mathias Bourgue - Hady Habib	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Mathias Bourgue - Martin Klizan	Bourgue M. retired ✺
26.01.24	Matteo Martineau - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLL?L
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ITF Tournaments
15.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Adria Soriano Barrera	Sanchez Izquierdo N. retired ✺
14.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Ronetto Van Tilburg	2:1 ✺
12.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Albert Pedrico Kravtsov	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Diego Fernandez Flores	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Martin Damm	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?WWL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.05.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Mathias Bourgue	1:2

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