Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Cap d'Agde, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Mathieu Scaglia		Nazim Makhlouf

	1	2
	1.40	2.65
	1.45	2.55
	1.4	2.99
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.38	2.95
	1.37	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.7)	2.77 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathieu Scaglia
66.5%

Nazim Makhlouf
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathieu Scaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathieu Scaglia's performance.

Nazim Makhlouf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nazim Makhlouf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathieu Scaglia than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathieu Scaglia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nazim Makhlouf than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nazim Makhlouf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mathieu Scaglia - Nazim Makhlouf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Scaglia is ranked ATP: 1041. Makhlouf is ranked ATP: 1112.

Scaglia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Makhlouf is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Makhlouf may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathieu Scaglia
ITF Tournaments
21.08.26	Pavel Lagutin - Mathieu Scaglia	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Abdulhamid Mubarak - Mathieu Scaglia	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Maxwell McKennon	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Pablo Perez Navarro	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Ander Tarrio Ponte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLW
- Nazim Makhlouf
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Nazim Makhlouf - John Hallquist Lithen	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Nazim Makhlouf - Massimo Pizzigoni	1:2 ✺
30.07.26	Nazim Makhlouf - Pierre Delage	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Flynn Thomas - Nazim Makhlouf	Thomas F. Retired ✺
16.07.26	Paul Barbier Gazeu - Nazim Makhlouf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLL?L

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