Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Cap d'Agde, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday


	Mathieu Scaglia		Yanis Ghazouani Durand

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.32	1.29	Watch
	3.04	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathieu Scaglia
29.4%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathieu Scaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathieu Scaglia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Mathieu Scaglia - Yanis Ghazouani Durand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Scaglia is ranked ATP: 1467. Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 832.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ghazouani Durand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ghazouani Durand is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathieu Scaglia
ITF Tournaments
26.08.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Jim Hendrikx	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Benjamin Pietri	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Clement Lemire - Mathieu Scaglia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL
- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ITF Tournaments
26.08.25	Freek Van Donselaar - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Ivan Perez Martin	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Maxence Bertimon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

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