Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 7, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Heraklion 7 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mathys Domenc		Petros Tsitsipas

	1	2
	1.67	2.05
	1.68	2.05
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.68	2.15
	1.64	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.51)	2.08 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Domenc
55.6%

Petros Tsitsipas
44.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Domenc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathys Domenc's form might have worsened.

Petros Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petros Tsitsipas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Domenc than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Domenc, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petros Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petros Tsitsipas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Domenc is ranked ATP: 1091., and Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 958..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Domenc could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Domenc is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Domenc
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Mathys Domenc - Daniel Jade	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Michele Ribecai - Mathys Domenc	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Leonardo Rossi - Mathys Domenc	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Mathys Domenc - Kyle Overmyer	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Mathys Domenc - Alexis Gautier	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLW?
- Petros Tsitsipas
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Petros Tsitsipas - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Louis Wessels - Petros Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Jiri Cizek - Petros Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Petros Tsitsipas - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Petros Tsitsipas - Maxence Rivet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 LWLWL

Mathys Domenc - Petros Tsitsipas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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