Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quimper (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 20 January 2025, Monday


	Matias Soto		Florent Bax

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	2.95
	1.34	2.95	Watch
	1.37	2.96	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.35	3.04	Watch
	1.34	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.51)	2.93 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
68.4%

Florent Bax
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matias Soto's performance.

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Florent Bax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Matias Soto - Florent Bax Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bax will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 247. Bax is ranked ATP: 488.

Recent matches Soto is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bax is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Soto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Soto will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
13.01.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Max Hans Rehberg - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.12.24	Matias Soto - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Matias Soto - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
06.12.24	Matias Soto - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW
- Florent Bax
ITF Tournaments
07.01.25	Florent Bax - Siddharth Vishwakarma	Bax F. retired ✺
04.01.25	Alastair Gray - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
03.01.25	Florent Bax - Egor Agafonov	Agafonov E. retired ✺
02.01.25	Florent Bax - Chirag Duhan	2:0 ✺
01.01.25	Florent Bax - Madhwin Kamath	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ?L?WW

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