Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Manchester (United Kingdom), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday


	Matilde Paoletti		Emily Appleton

	1	2
			Watch
	2.17	1.63
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.11	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.09)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matilde Paoletti
43.5%

Emily Appleton
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matilde Paoletti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Emily Appleton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Paoletti than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emily Appleton than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Matilde Paoletti - Emily Appleton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paoletti is ranked WTA: 425. Appleton is ranked WTA: 394.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Appleton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matilde Paoletti
ITF Tournaments
18.02.25	Matilde Paoletti - Hiromi Abe	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Matilde Paoletti	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Matilde Paoletti - Anna-Lena Friedsam	1:2 ✺
30.01.25	Ariana Arseneault - Matilde Paoletti	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Ellie Schoppe - Matilde Paoletti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW
- Emily Appleton
ITF Tournaments
18.02.25	Emily Appleton - Francisca Jorge	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Emily Appleton - Anna-Lena Friedsam	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Emily Appleton - Joanna Garland	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Emily Appleton	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Anouck Vrancken Peeters - Emily Appleton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW

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