Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday


	Matteo Martineau		Iliyan Radulov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.18	1.65
	2.46	1.57
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.16	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.1)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
41.3%

Iliyan Radulov
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Iliyan Radulov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliyan Radulov than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Matteo Martineau - Iliyan Radulov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 333. Radulov is ranked ATP: 645.

Martineau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Radulov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Matteo Martineau - Daniel Salazar	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Tristan Boyer - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Matteo Martineau - Mickael Kaouk	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Matteo Martineau - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Matteo Martineau - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW
- Iliyan Radulov
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Stefano DAgostino - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Luca Staeheli - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Mariano Kestelboim - Iliyan Radulov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.05.26	Robert Watzka - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Sergi Perez Contri - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

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