Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday


	Tristan Boyer		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.36	3.00	Watch
	1.34	3.00
	1.38	2.95
	1.39	3.33
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.36	3.00	Watch
	1.36	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)	3.03 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Boyer
69%

Matteo Martineau
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Boyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristan Boyer's performance.

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Martineau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristan Boyer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Martineau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tristan Boyer - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Boyer will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Boyer is ranked ATP: 198. Martineau is ranked ATP: 335.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Boyer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boyer is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Boyer
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Tristan Boyer - Raphael Perot	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Sebastian Baez - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Tristan Boyer - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Tristan Boyer - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Matteo Martineau - Mickael Kaouk	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Matteo Martineau - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Matteo Martineau - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Matteo Martineau - Sander Jong	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Matteo Martineau - Marcel Zielinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL

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