Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos (Greece), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.41	1.59
	2.42	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.51	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.21)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
37.4%

Christoph Negritu
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Matthew Dellavedova - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: Christoph Negritu will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 383. Negritu is ranked ATP: 321.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Negritu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Negritu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Dellavedova - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.03%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Christoph Negritu - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.97%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
17.02.25	Hiroki Moriya - Matthew Dellavedova	Moriya H. walkover ✺
16.02.25	Arnav Paparkar - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Pavle Marinkov - Matthew Dellavedova	Canceled ✺
29.01.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
28.01.25	Dane Sweeny - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?W?LW
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
18.02.25	Christoph Negritu - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Christoph Negritu - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Christoph Negritu - Ewen Lumsden	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Chris Rodesch - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Pablo Masjuan Ginel - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW

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