Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tokyo 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Maximus Jones

	1	2
	1.48	2.40
	1.54	2.30
	1.5	2.62
	1.48	2.44	Watch
	1.48	2.55
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
62.5%

Maximus Jones
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Maximus Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Matthew Dellavedova - Maximus Jones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 339. Jones is ranked ATP: 437.

Dellavedova is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Jones has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dellavedova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dellavedova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dellavedova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Maximus Jones - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Saki Tange	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Kuan-Yi Lee	Lee K. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWL?
- Maximus Jones
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Maximus Jones - Kokoro Isomura	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Maximus Jones - Ryota Tanuma	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Maximus Jones - Makoto Ochi	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Hunter Heck - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Jangjun Kim - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.08.22	Maximus Jones - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2

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