Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bergamo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bergamo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Matthew Donald		Andrea Picchione

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Matthew Donald
35%

Andrea Picchione
65%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Donald is ranked ATP: 761. Picchione is ranked ATP: 432.

Donald is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Picchione has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Picchione may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Picchione is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Matthew Donald - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Matthew Donald	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Matthew Donald - Karol Filar	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Matthew Donald - Samuel Brosset	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Matthew Donald - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW
- Andrea Picchione
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Gabriele Bosio - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Andrea Picchione - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Andrea Picchione - Iannis Miletich	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Andrea Picchione - Michele Mecarelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Matthew Donald - Andrea Picchione