Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Matthew Donald		Mykyta Mashtakov

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.83	1.83
	1.66	2.11	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
53.2%

Mykyta Mashtakov
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Mykyta Mashtakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matthew Donald that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mykyta Mashtakov than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mykyta Mashtakov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matthew Donald - Mykyta Mashtakov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 691. Mashtakov is ranked ATP: 834.

Donald is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mashtakov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Donald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Donald - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Benito Sanchez Martinez - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Adan Freire Da Silva - Matthew Donald	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Felix Balshaw - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Matthew Donald - Buvaysar Gadamauri	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Matthew Donald - Sebastian Sorger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Mykyta Mashtakov
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Mykyta Mashtakov - Alec Beckley	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Mykyta Mashtakov - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Mykyta Mashtakov - Aleksander Orlikowski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.25	Olle Wallin - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.25	Mykyta Mashtakov - Alexander Vasilev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Matthew Donald - Mykyta Mashtakov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide