Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liberec (Czech Republic) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday


	Matyas Cerny		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.36
	2.7	1.4
	3.05	1.36
	2.93	1.37	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.84	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.26)	1.38 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matyas Cerny
32.4%

Mili Poljicak
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matyas Cerny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matyas Cerny's form might have worsened.

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mili Poljicak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matyas Cerny than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matyas Cerny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mili Poljicak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Matyas Cerny - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerny will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Poljicak will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poljicak: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Cerny is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Poljicak is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Poljicak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Poljicak is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matyas Cerny
ITF Tournaments
25.07.24	Matyas Cerny - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Nico Hornitschek - Matyas Cerny	0:2 ✺
05.07.24	Gianluca Cadenasso - Matyas Cerny	2:0 ✺
04.07.24	Matyas Cerny - Matteo De Vincentis	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Noa Vukadin - Matyas Cerny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW
- Mili Poljicak
ATP Umag
22.07.24	Mili Poljicak - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.07.24	Mili Poljicak - Nikola Basic	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Corentin Denolly - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Mili Poljicak - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Mili Poljicak - Maximilian Homberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW

Matyas Cerny - Mili Poljicak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide