Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Dobrich 2 (Bulgaria), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2024, Wednesday


	Max Alcala Gurri		Alexander Donski

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.72	2.15
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.58	2.31	Watch
	1.66	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.52)	2.13 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Alcala Gurri
56%

Alexander Donski
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Alexander Donski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Alcala Gurri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Donski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Max Alcala Gurri - Alexander Donski Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Donski will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 469. Donski is ranked ATP: 798.

Recent matches Alcala Gurri is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Donski is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcala Gurri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcala Gurri won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
10.09.24	Dinko Dinev - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Maxim Zhukov	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Peter Buldorini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL
- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Alexander Donski - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Alexander Donski - Juan Bautista Torres	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
19.08.24	David Pichler - Alexander Donski	0:2 ✺
18.08.24	Alexander Donski - Zura Tkemaladze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWWW

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