Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Maximilian Marterer		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.2	1.62
	2.31	1.66
	2.31	1.66
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.26	1.65	Watch
	2.26	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.53)	1.63 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Marterer
41.8%

Dominic Thiem
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Marterer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maximilian Marterer's performance.

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominic Thiem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maximilian Marterer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominic Thiem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Maximilian Marterer - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Marterer will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Thiem will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marterer: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Marterer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marterer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Marterer
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Ugo Blanchet - Maximilian Marterer	Blanchet U. walkover ✺
26.03.24	Elias Ymer - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Maximilian Marterer - Yannick Hanfmann	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.24	Maximilian Marterer - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Maximilian Marterer - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?W?LL
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Challenger
20.03.24	Dominic Thiem - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Dominic Thiem - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Dominic Thiem - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
04.02.24	Osgar OHoisin - Dominic Thiem	Canceled ✺
03.02.24	Michael Agwi - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.19	Dominic Thiem - Maximilian Marterer	2:0
ATP Halle
19.06.17	Maximilian Marterer - Dominic Thiem	0:2

Maximilian Marterer - Dominic Thiem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide