Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Catania - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Maximus Jones		Sebastian Gima

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.48
	2.55	1.45
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.45	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.73)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximus Jones
36.7%

Sebastian Gima
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximus Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Maximus Jones - Sebastian Gima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 496., and Gima is ranked ATP: 589..

Recent results have been tough for Jones (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gima is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Gima may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Gima - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximus Jones
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Timofey Skatov - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Maximus Jones - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Florent Bax - Maximus Jones	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Ivan Ivanov - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- Sebastian Gima
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Sebastian Gima - Iannis Miletich	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Sebastian Gima - Timo Rosenkranz Koenig	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Sebastian Gima - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Radu David Turcanu - Sebastian Gima	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Sebastian Gima - Jannik Opitz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWW

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