Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Catania - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Sebastian Gima		Pedro Vives Marcos

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.34
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	2.99	1.34	Watch
	2.93	1.32
	3.15	1.31
	3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.09)	1.33 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Gima
30.6%

Pedro Vives Marcos
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Gima's form might have worsened.

Pedro Vives Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Vives Marcos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Gima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Vives Marcos than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Vives Marcos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sebastian Gima - Pedro Vives Marcos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gima is ranked ATP: 589., and Vives Marcos is ranked ATP: 542..

Gima is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vives Marcos has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vives Marcos is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Gima has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Gima - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Maximus Jones - Sebastian Gima	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Sebastian Gima - Iannis Miletich	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Sebastian Gima - Timo Rosenkranz Koenig	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Sebastian Gima - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Radu David Turcanu - Sebastian Gima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW
- Pedro Vives Marcos
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Radu David Turcanu - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Pedro Vives Marcos	Vives Marcos P. Walkover ✺
04.10.26	Sebastiano Cocola - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.02.21	Pedro Vives Marcos - Sebastian Gima	2:0

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