Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 (Portugal), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday


	Maxwell McKennon		Boris Butulija

	1	2
	1.25	3.5
	1.25	3.64
	1.28	3.37	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.33	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.44)	3.43 ↑ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxwell McKennon
72.8%

Boris Butulija
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxwell McKennon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxwell McKennon's performance.

Boris Butulija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boris Butulija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxwell McKennon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maxwell McKennon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boris Butulija than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boris Butulija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

McKennon is ranked ATP: 1108. Butulija is ranked ATP: 1088.

Recent matches McKennon is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Butulija is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Butulija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

McKennon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxwell McKennon
ITF Tournaments
16.08.24	Karl Poling - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Maxwell McKennon - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:1 ✺
13.08.24	Maxwell McKennon - Nikita Bortnichek	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Maxwell McKennon	2:0
01.08.24	Lance Amaury Lage Castelan - Maxwell McKennon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW
- Boris Butulija
ITF Tournaments
07.08.24	Boris Butulija - Vesa Ahti	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Boris Butulija - Nazim Makhlouf	0:2 ✺
17.07.24	Boris Butulija - Mehdi Benchakroun	1:2 ✺
11.07.24	Samir Hamza Reguig - Boris Butulija	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Boris Butulija - Rayen Hermassi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Maxwell McKennon - Boris Butulija: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide