Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merida (Mexico) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Maya Joint		Elina Avanesyan

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.09	Watch
	1.81	2.11
	1.77	2.05	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.07)	2.08 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maya Joint
54.2%

Elina Avanesyan
45.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maya Joint has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maya Joint's performance.

Elina Avanesyan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elina Avanesyan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maya Joint than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maya Joint that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Avanesyan than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elina Avanesyan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Maya Joint - Elina Avanesyan Predictions

Users Predictions: Maya Joint will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Joint is ranked WTA: 103. Avanesyan is ranked WTA: 45.

Joint is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Avanesyan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Avanesyan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maya Joint
WTA Merida
26.02.25	Donna Vekic - Maya Joint	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Maya Joint - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Maya Joint - Solana Sierra	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Maya Joint - Emina Bektas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.25	Maya Joint - Carson Branstine	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- Elina Avanesyan
WTA Merida
26.02.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Elina Avanesyan	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Elina Avanesyan - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.25	Elina Avanesyan - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.25	Darya Kasatkina - Elina Avanesyan	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Elina Avanesyan - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maya Joint
WTA Tokyo
29.10.26	Kamilla Rakhimova - Maya Joint	✺

Maya Joint - Elina Avanesyan