Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Florianopolis 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Mayar Sherif		Alice Rame

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Mayar Sherif
72.8%

Alice Rame
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mayar Sherif has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mayar Sherif's performance.

Alice Rame has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alice Rame might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mayar Sherif than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mayar Sherif that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Rame than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alice Rame could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Sherif is ranked WTA: 102. Rame is ranked WTA: 211.

Sherif has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rame is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sherif may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sherif is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mayar Sherif
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Teodora Kostovic - Mayar Sherif	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Mariella Thamm - Mayar Sherif	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Mayar Sherif - Tamara Zidansek	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Mayar Sherif - Tatiana Pieri	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Mayar Sherif - Ekaterine Gorgodze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL
- Alice Rame
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Simona Waltert - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Alice Rame - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Alice Rame - Martina Colmegna	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Alice Rame - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Julia Riera - Alice Rame	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

Mayar Sherif - Alice Rame