Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Florence, SC, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Mayu Crossley		Alexis Nguyen

	1	2
			Watch
	1.18	4.10
	1.28	3.30
	1.24	4.10
	1.21	3.84	Watch
	1.23	4.05
	1.21	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)	3.89 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mayu Crossley
76%

Alexis Nguyen
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mayu Crossley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mayu Crossley's performance.

Alexis Nguyen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexis Nguyen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mayu Crossley than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mayu Crossley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Nguyen than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Nguyen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mayu Crossley - Alexis Nguyen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Crossley is ranked WTA: 762. Nguyen is ranked WTA: 719.

Crossley is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nguyen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nguyen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Crossley is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mayu Crossley
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Mayu Crossley	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Claire Hill - Mayu Crossley	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Malaika Rapolu - Mayu Crossley	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Mayu Crossley - Jo-Yee Chan	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Mayu Crossley - Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Alexis Nguyen
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Gabriella Broadfoot - Alexis Nguyen	Broadfoot G. Retired ✺
29.07.26	Kate Fakih - Alexis Nguyen	Fakih K. Retired ✺
14.07.26	Rachel Gailis - Alexis Nguyen	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Alexis Nguyen - Veronica Miroshnichenko	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Alexis Nguyen - Camille Allegre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 ??LLW

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