Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Ibague, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez		Luciana Moyano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.34	3.04
	1.35	2.90	Watch
	1.37	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.69)	2.95 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
68.5%

Luciana Moyano
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez's performance.

Luciana Moyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciana Moyano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciana Moyano than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciana Moyano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Luciana Moyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reasco Gonzalez is ranked WTA: 683. Moyano is ranked WTA: 830.

Reasco Gonzalez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moyano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Moyano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
ITF Tournaments
12.10.25	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Dasha Ivanova - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Maria Camila Torres Murcia	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Ava Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Ingrid Carolina Millan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW
- Luciana Moyano
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Luciana Moyano	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Laura Pigossi - Luciana Moyano	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Martina Capurro Taborda - Luciana Moyano	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Luciana Moyano - Agustina Grassi	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Luciana Moyano - Martina Capurro Taborda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

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