Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday


	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez		Valeriya Strakhova

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.63	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)	2.3 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
59.7%

Valeriya Strakhova
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez's performance.

Valeriya Strakhova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valeriya Strakhova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valeriya Strakhova than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valeriya Strakhova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Valeriya Strakhova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Reasco Gonzalez will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Strakhova will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Strakhova (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Strakhova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reasco Gonzalez is ranked WTA: 572. Strakhova is ranked WTA: 347.

Reasco Gonzalez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Strakhova has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Reasco Gonzalez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Reasco Gonzalez is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Valeriya Strakhova - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Emily Zornada - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Isabel Arabarco - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Aiken Tejada - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Martina Capurro Taborda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWWL
- Valeriya Strakhova
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Katarina Jokic - Valeriya Strakhova	Strakhova V. retired ✺
16.11.25	Valeriya Strakhova - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Valeriya Strakhova - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Valeriya Strakhova - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Julieta Pareja - Valeriya Strakhova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?LLLL

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