Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Gonesse, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Merel Hoedt		Katerina Tsygourova

	1	2
	3.19	1.36
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	2.75	1.36
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.91)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merel Hoedt
31.2%

Katerina Tsygourova
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merel Hoedt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Katerina Tsygourova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merel Hoedt than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katerina Tsygourova than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Merel Hoedt - Katerina Tsygourova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hoedt is ranked WTA: 789. Tsygourova is ranked WTA: 517.

Hoedt has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tsygourova's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hoedt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tsygourova is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merel Hoedt
ITF Tournaments
27.02.26	Paula Cembranos - Merel Hoedt	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Valentina Losciale - Merel Hoedt	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Merel Hoedt - Gina Marie Dittmann	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Merel Hoedt - Lorena Solar Donoso	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Julia Victoria Rennert - Merel Hoedt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Katerina Tsygourova
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Katerina Tsygourova	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Julie Belgraver	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Yaroslava Bartashevich	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Aneta Kucmova	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Elizara Yaneva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLL

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