Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Reichstett, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Merel Hoedt		Tilwith Di Girolami

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.38	1.6
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.32	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.05)	1.57 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merel Hoedt
40.8%

Tilwith Di Girolami
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merel Hoedt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Tilwith Di Girolami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merel Hoedt than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merel Hoedt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tilwith Di Girolami than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tilwith Di Girolami, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Merel Hoedt - Tilwith Di Girolami Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hoedt is ranked WTA: 699. Di Girolami is ranked WTA: 806.

Recent performances by Hoedt have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Di Girolami is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Di Girolami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Di Girolami will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merel Hoedt
ITF Tournaments
17.04.26	Merel Hoedt - Alice Tubello	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Julia Adams - Merel Hoedt	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Merel Hoedt - Lorena Schaedel	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Arianna Zucchini - Merel Hoedt	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Merel Hoedt - Wozuko Mdlulwa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- Tilwith Di Girolami
ITF Tournaments
03.05.26	Denisa Zoldakova - Tilwith Di Girolami	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Tilwith Di Girolami - Eva Marie Voracek	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tilwith Di Girolami - Isis Louise Van den Broek	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Berta Bonardi - Tilwith Di Girolami	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Rebecca Munk Mortensen - Tilwith Di Girolami	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWWW

Merel Hoedt - Tilwith Di Girolami: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide