Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Bistrita, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Mia Ristic		Matilde Jorge

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.6	2.27
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.15	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.83)	2.14 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mia Ristic
56.4%

Matilde Jorge
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mia Ristic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mia Ristic's performance.

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matilde Jorge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Mia Ristic - Matilde Jorge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ristic is ranked WTA: 326. Jorge is ranked WTA: 248.

Ristic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jorge's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ristic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Mia Ristic - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mia Ristic
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Bianca Elena Barbulescu - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Mia Ristic - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Mia Ristic - Alessandra Mazzola	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Anja Stankovic - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Mia Ristic - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Bulgaru M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWL?
- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Eva Maria Ionescu - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Ilinca Dalina Amariei - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Aurora Zantedeschi - Matilde Jorge	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Eva Vedder - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL

Mia Ristic - Matilde Jorge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide