Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Poznan (Poland) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Michael Agwi		Diego Dedura-Palomero

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.21	1.57
	2.27	1.58
	2.12	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.47)	1.61 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Agwi
42.6%

Diego Dedura-Palomero
57.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Agwi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Diego Dedura-Palomero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Agwi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Agwi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diego Dedura-Palomero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Agwi is ranked ATP: 492. Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 942.

Agwi is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dedura-Palomero is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dedura-Palomero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dedura-Palomero will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Agwi
ITF Tournaments
15.08.24	Mariano Dedura-Palomero - Michael Agwi	Agwi M. retired ✺
14.08.24	Jiri Barnat - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
10.07.24	Michael Agwi - Michel Hopp	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Michael Agwi - Pawel Juszczak	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Henri Laaksonen - Michael Agwi	Agwi M. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ?WLL?
- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ITF Tournaments
17.08.24	Alec Beckley - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Jan Jermar - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Alexander Zgirovsky - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.24	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Valerio Aboian	✺

Michael Agwi - Diego Dedura-Palomero

Match Info

Current Win Probability

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