Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cesenatico, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cesenatico 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	12:00	Veikkaus TV


	Michele Mecarelli		Federico Iannaccone

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.34	1.62
	2.04	1.69	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (3.1)	1.62 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Mecarelli
42.5%

Federico Iannaccone
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Mecarelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michele Mecarelli's performance.

Federico Iannaccone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Iannaccone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Michele Mecarelli - Federico Iannaccone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mecarelli (votes: 3 - 60%). Iannaccone (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Games - Mecarelli (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mecarelli (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Iannaccone (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mecarelli is ranked ATP: 1485. Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 731.

Iannaccone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iannaccone might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Mecarelli
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Michele Mecarelli - Josip Simundza	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Maxime Janvier - Michele Mecarelli	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.12.25	Ozan Baris - Michele Mecarelli	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Michele Mecarelli	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Simone Macchione - Michele Mecarelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLLW
- Federico Iannaccone
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Jacopo Bilardo - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Alessio Balestrieri - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.12.25	Federico Iannaccone - Gabriele Bosio	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Federico Iannaccone - Patrick Schoen	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Federico Iannaccone - Oliver Bonding	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW

Michele Mecarelli - Federico Iannaccone

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Michele Mecarelli - Federico Iannaccone Predictions

Preview

Form

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