Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Caltanissetta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Michele Ribecai		Luca Potenza

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.54	2.37
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2)	2.28 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
59.3%

Luca Potenza
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michele Ribecai's performance.

Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Potenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michele Ribecai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Potenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michele Ribecai - Luca Potenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ribecai will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 755. Potenza is ranked ATP: 572.

Ribecai has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Potenza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ribecai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ITF Tournaments
20.05.25	Georgii Kravchenko - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
15.05.25	Felix Gill - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Michele Ribecai - Carlo Alberto Fossati	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Michele Ribecai - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Michele Ribecai - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWLW
- Luca Potenza
ITF Tournaments
21.05.25	Luca Potenza - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Luca Potenza - Kyle Edmund	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Ivan Liutarevich - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Luca Potenza - Guillaume Dalmasso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

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