Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Castelo Branco (Portugal), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 July 2024, Friday


	Michele Ribecai		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	2.55	1.44
	2.45	1.47
	2.6	1.47
	2.48	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.56	1.47
	2.48	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.83)	1.47 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
36.9%

Marek Gengel
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michele Ribecai's form might have worsened.

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marek Gengel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michele Ribecai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marek Gengel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michele Ribecai - Marek Gengel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ribecai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gengel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gengel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gengel will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gengel to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ITF Tournaments
18.07.24	Pedro Araujo - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Michele Ribecai - Jordan Hasson	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Michele Ribecai - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
19.06.24	Michele Ribecai - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Michele Ribecai - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL
- Marek Gengel
ITF Tournaments
18.07.24	Francisco Rocha - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Koray Kirci - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Marek Gengel - Chris Rodesch	1:2 ✺
11.07.24	Marek Gengel - Karol Filar	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Marek Gengel - Valerio Perruzza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

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