Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 8, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Michika Ozeki		Maria Kalyakina

	1	2
	2.02	1.75
	2.06	1.64	Watch
	1.97	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.81)	1.71 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michika Ozeki
45.9%

Maria Kalyakina
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michika Ozeki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michika Ozeki's form might have worsened.

Maria Kalyakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Kalyakina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michika Ozeki than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michika Ozeki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Kalyakina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michika Ozeki - Maria Kalyakina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ozeki is ranked WTA: 709. Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 797.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ozeki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michika Ozeki
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Michika Ozeki - Man Ying Maggie Ng	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Michika Ozeki - Sitong Chen	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Michika Ozeki - Meiling Wang	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Michika Ozeki - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Michika Ozeki - Jizelle Sibai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL
- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Zixuan Zeng - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Ksenia Meshcheryakova - Maria Kalyakina	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Daria Zelinskaya - Maria Kalyakina	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Daria Zelinskaya - Maria Kalyakina	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Maria Kalyakina - Meiqi Guo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL

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