Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 TARRAGONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Miguel Damas		Damian Wenger

	1	2
	1.9	1.8
	1.93	1.81
	2	1.73
	1.98	1.75
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.18)	1.76 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
47.3%

Damian Wenger
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Damian Wenger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miguel Damas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damian Wenger than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damian Wenger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Damas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wenger is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Damas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Wenger to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Damas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
27.03.24	Miguel Damas - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.03.24	Raul Brancaccio - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.03.24	Liam Gavrielides - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
29.02.24	Darwin Blanch - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
28.02.24	Matthew Summers - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Damian Wenger
ITF Tournaments
27.03.24	Anton Matusevich - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.24	Clement Tabur - Damian Wenger	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Damian Wenger - Daniel Cukierman	2:1 ✺
07.03.24	Damian Wenger - Aziz Ouakaa	Ouakaa A. retired ✺
05.03.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.11.21	Damian Wenger - Miguel Damas	2:1

Miguel Damas - Damian Wenger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide