Match Info

Date: 22 March 2022, Tuesday


	Miguel Damas		Lucas Gerch

	1	2
	2.15	1.62
	2.01	1.66
	2.22	1.62
	2	1.72
	2.3	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
43.5%

Lucas Gerch
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Lucas Gerch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miguel Damas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Gerch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Damas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gerch will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
18.03.22	Miguel Damas - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	1:2 ✺
17.03.22	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
16.03.22	Oscar Moraing - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.03.22	Miguel Damas - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
28.02.22	Matteo Martineau - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Lucas Gerch
ITF Tournaments
03.03.22	Lucas Gerch - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
02.03.22	Lucas Gerch - Nicholas Bybel	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Keegan Smith - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Nick Chappell - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
18.02.22	Lucas Gerch - Emil Reinberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Miguel Damas - Matej Dodig	✺

Miguel Damas - Lucas Gerch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide