Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Naples, FL 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Miguel Tobon		Louis Wessels

	1	2
	1.93	1.88
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	2	1.7
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.97)	1.8 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
48.5%

Louis Wessels
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Louis Wessels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louis Wessels than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louis Wessels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Miguel Tobon - Louis Wessels Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tobon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 603. Wessels is ranked ATP: 626.

Tobon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wessels is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wessels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Wessels will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Miguel Tobon - Teodor Davidov	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Miguel Tobon - Jordan Lee	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Natan Rodrigues - Miguel Tobon	Tobon M. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.01.26	Miguel Tobon - Andrej Nedic	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Raul Brancaccio - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WW?LL
- Louis Wessels
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Michael Antonius - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Louis Wessels	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Teodor Davidov - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Gianluca Brunkow - Louis Wessels	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Arthur Bonnaud - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

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