Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hong Kong 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Miho Kuramochi		Fangran Tian

	1	2
	2.91	1.39
			Watch
	2.66	1.43
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.62)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miho Kuramochi
34.2%

Fangran Tian
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miho Kuramochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Fangran Tian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miho Kuramochi than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fangran Tian than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Preview

Kuramochi is ranked WTA: 399. Tian is ranked WTA: 564.

In recent matches, Kuramochi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tian is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kuramochi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tian could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Tian will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Miho Kuramochi - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miho Kuramochi
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Miho Kuramochi - Boyoung Jeong	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Miho Kuramochi - Vlada Mincheva	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Miho Kuramochi - Bela Tamhankar	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Shiho Akita - Miho Kuramochi	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Ayano Shimizu - Miho Kuramochi	Kuramochi M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWL?
- Fangran Tian
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Fangran Tian - Bunyawi Thamchaiwat	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Fangran Tian - Anchisa Chanta	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Fangran Tian - Kallista Liu	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Anna Yang - Fangran Tian	Yang A. retired ✺
24.06.25	Priyanshi Bhandari - Fangran Tian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWW?W

Miho Kuramochi - Fangran Tian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide