Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday


	Mika Brunold		Michael Geerts

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.81	1.9	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Brunold
51.5%

Michael Geerts
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Brunold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Mika Brunold - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Brunold will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Geerts will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Geerts: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Michael Geerts will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brunold is ranked ATP: 318. Geerts is ranked ATP: 302.

Brunold is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Geerts is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Geerts could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mika Brunold - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Brunold
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Elias Ymer - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Mika Brunold - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Antoine Escoffier - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Mika Brunold - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLL
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Robin Bertrand - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Michael Geerts - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Alejandro Juan Mano - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL

Mika Brunold - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide