Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday


	Mikael Ymer		Patrick Zahraj

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.4	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.44)	3.45 ↑ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikael Ymer
73%

Patrick Zahraj
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikael Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mikael Ymer's performance.

Patrick Zahraj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patrick Zahraj might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikael Ymer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patrick Zahraj could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Mikael Ymer - Patrick Zahraj Predictions

Users Predictions: Mikael Ymer will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 51. Zahraj is ranked ATP: 459.

Ymer is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Zahraj is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ymer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ymer is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikael Ymer
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Viktor Durasovic - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Mikael Ymer - Aleksandar Vukic	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Mikael Ymer - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.01.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Mikael Ymer - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 W?LWW
- Patrick Zahraj
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Patrick Zahraj - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
27.01.25	Patrick Zahraj - Florian Broska	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Sandro Kopp - Patrick Zahraj	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.01.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
23.01.25	Mika Berghaus - Patrick Zahraj	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Mikael Ymer - Patrick Zahraj: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide