Match Info

Date: 6 September 2021, Monday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.05	1.72	Watch
	2.06	1.65
	2.14	1.72
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.12	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.83)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
44.4%

Roman Safiullin
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikhail Kukushkin's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Kukushkin will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Safiullin will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kukushkin: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Safiullin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP US Open
30.08.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - Pablo Andujar-Alba	2:3 ✺
27.08.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - Antoine Hoang	1:2 ✺
26.08.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jason Jung	2:0 ✺
25.08.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
27.07.21	Ilya Ivashka - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
30.08.21	Roman Safiullin - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
18.08.21	Julian Lenz - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
17.08.21	Adrian Menendez-Maceiras - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
10.08.21	Roman Safiullin - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
20.07.21	Roman Safiullin - Ryan Peniston	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWL?

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