Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 3 (United Kingdom), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday


	Milos Karol		Patrick Zahraj

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	1.91 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milos Karol
51.4%

Patrick Zahraj
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Patrick Zahraj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Milos Karol - Patrick Zahraj Predictions

Users Predictions: Patrick Zahraj will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Karol is ranked ATP: 421. Zahraj is ranked ATP: 467.

Recent matches Karol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zahraj is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zahraj could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Milos Karol - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Milos Karol - Oleg Prihodko	0:2 ✺
18.11.24	Oleg Prihodko - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Filiberto Fumagalli - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Borna Coric - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
12.11.24	Milos Karol - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Patrick Zahraj
ATP Challenger
06.01.25	Patrick Zahraj - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Patrick Zahraj - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.11.24	Patrick Zahraj - Yassine Dlimi	Zahraj P. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
16.11.24	Patrick Zahraj - Aidan Mayo	1:2 ✺
15.11.24	Patrick Zahraj - Daniel Masur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WW?LW

Milos Karol - Patrick Zahraj: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide