Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: FLORIANOPOLIS (BRAZIL), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru		Ajla Tomljanovic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.86	1.44
	2.9	1.43
	2.75	1.4
	2.76	1.42	Watch
	2.85	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.34)	1.43 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
33.8%

Ajla Tomljanovic
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miriam Bianca Bulgaru's form might have worsened.

Ajla Tomljanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajla Tomljanovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miriam Bianca Bulgaru than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miriam Bianca Bulgaru, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajla Tomljanovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	0%	29.2%

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Ajla Tomljanovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Bulgaru will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Tomljanovic will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bulgaru: 52.6% – 89%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Tomljanovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tomljanovic is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
ATP Challenger
23.11.23	Solana Sierra - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	1:2 ✺
21.11.23	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Laura Pigossi	2:1 ✺
13.11.23	Polona Hercog - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:1 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
18.10.23	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Rebeka Masarova	1:2 ✺
16.10.23	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Ipek Oz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW
- Ajla Tomljanovic
ATP Challenger
23.11.23	Ajla Tomljanovic - Ipek Oz	2:1 ✺
20.11.23	Ajla Tomljanovic - Fiona Ferro	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
07.11.23	Ajla Tomljanovic - Kaja Juvan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.10.23	Ajla Tomljanovic - Emina Bektas	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Ajla Tomljanovic - Whitney Osuigwe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

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