Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Huamantla, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Miriana Tona		Midori Castillo Meza

	1	2
			Watch
	1.43	2.85
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.4	2.63
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.56)	2.72 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miriana Tona
65.9%

Midori Castillo Meza
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miriana Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miriana Tona's performance.

Midori Castillo Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Midori Castillo Meza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miriana Tona than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miriana Tona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midori Castillo Meza than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Midori Castillo Meza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Tona is ranked WTA: 360. Castillo Meza is ranked WTA: 999.

Tona is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Castillo Meza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tona might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miriana Tona
ITF Tournaments
08.03.26	Gina Feistel - Miriana Tona	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Maya Iyengar - Miriana Tona	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez - Miriana Tona	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Isabella Foshee - Miriana Tona	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Fernanda Regalado Macias - Miriana Tona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- Midori Castillo Meza
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Midori Castillo Meza - Indianna Spink	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Midori Castillo Meza - Neus Torner Sensano	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Midori Castillo Meza	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Charo Esquiva Banuls - Midori Castillo Meza	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Midori Castillo Meza - Tian Jialin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWWL

Miriana Tona - Midori Castillo Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide