Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W60 BELLINZONA (SWITZERLAND), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Mirra Andreeva		Darja Semenistaja

	1	2
	1.12	5
	1.14	5
	1.14	5
	1.14	4.95	Watch
	1.13	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.36)	5.03 ↑ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirra Andreeva
81.6%

Darja Semenistaja
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirra Andreeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirra Andreeva's performance.

Darja Semenistaja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darja Semenistaja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirra Andreeva than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirra Andreeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darja Semenistaja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mirra Andreeva - Darja Semenistaja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Andreeva in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Semenistaja is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Semenistaja could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Andreeva is absolute favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirra Andreeva
ITF Tournaments
18.04.23	Fiona Ganz - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Mirra Andreeva - Celine Naef	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Nadia Podoroska - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
14.04.23	Mirra Andreeva - Alexandra Ignatik	2:0 ✺
13.04.23	Barbora Palicova - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- Darja Semenistaja
ITF Tournaments
14.04.23	Darja Semenistaja - Celine Naef	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	Nigina Abduraimova - Darja Semenistaja	1:2 ✺
12.04.23	Alice Tubello - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
03.04.23	Darja Semenistaja - Alexandra Ignatik	0:2 ✺
08.03.23	Darja Semenistaja - Radka Zelnickova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL

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