Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Hong Kong (Hong Kong), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday


	Misaki Matsuda		Himeno Sakatsume

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.18	1.58
	2.19	1.62
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.17	1.64	Watch
	2.18	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.47)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Misaki Matsuda
42.4%

Himeno Sakatsume
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Misaki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Himeno Sakatsume has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Misaki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Misaki Matsuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Himeno Sakatsume could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Matsuda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sakatsume is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Matsuda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sakatsume will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sakatsume to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Misaki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
02.07.24	Misaki Matsuda - Mio Mushika	2:0 ✺
20.06.24	Misaki Matsuda - Lizette Cabrera	0:2 ✺
05.06.24	Hina Inoue - Misaki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
04.06.24	Misaki Matsuda - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
29.05.24	Misaki Matsuda - Hanna Chang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL
- Himeno Sakatsume
ITF Tournaments
03.07.24	Sin Yu Che - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
27.06.24	Himeno Sakatsume - Vaidehi Chaudhari	Sakatsume H. retired ✺
26.06.24	Himeno Sakatsume - Gabriella Da Silva Fick	2:0 ✺
25.06.24	Himeno Sakatsume - Erika Sema	Sakatsume H. retired ✺
22.06.24	Himeno Sakatsume - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 W?W?W

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Himeno Sakatsume
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Simona Waltert - Himeno Sakatsume	✺

Misaki Matsuda - Himeno Sakatsume: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide