Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MONTERREY (MEXICO), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 24 February 2023, Friday


	Mitchell Krueger		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.89	1.89
	1.93	1.9
	1.91	1.8
	1.89	1.86	Watch
	1.94	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.92)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitchell Krueger
49.6%

Bernard Tomic
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Mitchell Krueger - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Krueger will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tomic will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tomic: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Krueger is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tomic is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Krueger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
23.02.23	Guido Andreozzi - Mitchell Krueger	Andreozzi G. retired ✺
21.02.23	Mitchell Krueger - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
11.02.23	Christopher Eubanks - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
06.02.23	Fernando Verdasco - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Jack Pinnington Jones - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLLW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
23.02.23	Bernard Tomic - Emilio Gomez	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Bernard Tomic - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
20.02.23	Bernard Tomic - Osgar OHoisin	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Bernard Tomic - Federico Zeballos	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.01.23	Bernard Tomic - Benjamin Hassan	Tomic B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWW?

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