Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 3 (China) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Yangzi J. (Chn)


	Moez Echargui		Blake Ellis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.59	2.29
	1.6	2.29
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.16	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
57.9%

Blake Ellis
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Moez Echargui - Blake Ellis Predictions

Users Predictions: Moez Echargui will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Echargui could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Echargui will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Moez Echargui - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Moez Echargui - Hoyoung Roh	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Moez Echargui - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Moez Echargui - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL
- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Duck Hee Lee - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Yunseok Jang - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Blake Ellis - Antoine Escoffier	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Yuki Mochizuki - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW

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