Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Petange, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Mona Barthel		Maria Timofeeva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.81	1.88	Watch
	1.74	1.97	Watch
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.63	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.09)	1.94 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
52.6%

Maria Timofeeva
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mona Barthel's performance.

Maria Timofeeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Timofeeva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mona Barthel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Timofeeva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mona Barthel - Maria Timofeeva Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barthel will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Timofeeva will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Timofeeva: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barthel (votes: 1 - 50%). Timofeeva (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 231. Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 151.

Barthel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Timofeeva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barthel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Mona Barthel - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Mona Barthel - Daria Snigur	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Weronika Ewald - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW
- Maria Timofeeva
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Mina Hodzic - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
WTA Chennai
29.10.25	Lanlana Tararudee - Maria Timofeeva	Timofeeva M. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Maria Timofeeva - Tyra Caterina Grant	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.10.25	Maria Timofeeva - Alexis Blokhina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Maria Timofeeva - Mona Barthel	Timofeeva M. retired

Mona Barthel - Maria Timofeeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide