Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Mona Barthel		Sara Bejlek

	1	2
	3.4	1.3
	3.1	1.33
	3.3	1.29	Watch
	3.87	1.28
	3.21	1.34	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.44	1.31	Watch
	3.3	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (1.83)	1.31 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
28.3%

Sara Bejlek
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mona Barthel's form might have worsened.

Sara Bejlek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sara Bejlek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+23.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mona Barthel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (-23.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sara Bejlek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Mona Barthel - Sara Bejlek Predictions

Users Predictions: Sara Bejlek will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 191. Bejlek is ranked WTA: 195.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bejlek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bejlek is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mona Barthel - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
03.05.25	Mona Barthel - Julia Grabher	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Mona Barthel - Anna Siskova	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Greetje Minnen - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Mona Barthel - Simona Waltert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLW
- Sara Bejlek
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.25	Rebeka Masarova - Sara Bejlek	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Sara Bejlek - Anna Bondar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Simona Waltert - Sara Bejlek	Bejlek S. retired ✺
26.03.25	Sara Bejlek - Petra Martic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLW?W

Mona Barthel - Sara Bejlek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide