Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Porto 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Mona Barthel		Xinyu Gao

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.75
	1.41	2.69
	1.4	2.63
	1.38	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)	2.72 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
66.1%

Xinyu Gao
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mona Barthel's performance.

Xinyu Gao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xinyu Gao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Mona Barthel - Xinyu Gao Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gao (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 195. Gao is ranked WTA: 267.

In recent matches, Barthel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barthel could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barthel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mona Barthel - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.4%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Mona Barthel - Dominika Salkova	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Camilla Rosatello - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Ksenia Efremova - Mona Barthel	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Sinja Kraus - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Sarah Melany Fajmonova - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LW?LW
- Xinyu Gao
WTA Australian Open
13.01.26	Lilli Tagger - Xinyu Gao	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.01.26	Xinyu Gao - Mia Ristic	Canceled ✺
06.12.25	Petra Marcinko - Xinyu Gao	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Alevtina Ibragimova - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Xinyu Gao - Elena Pridankina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.10.23	Mona Barthel - Xinyu Gao	0:2

Mona Barthel - Xinyu Gao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide